{
  "expert_layer_policy": {
    "version": "1.3",
    "weight_multiplier": 0.35,
    "description": "Expert signals carry a fixed 0.35x damping multiplier relative to primary empirical signals (1.0x). Domain-limited expert judgment can refine probabilities but cannot overpower contradictory empirical evidence. Roster membership alone never changes the distribution.",
    "inclusion_criteria": [
      "Direct technical proximity to frontier research, empirical macroeconomics, or documented applied expertise within a clearly bounded sociotechnical domain",
      "Published, verifiable reasoning traces such as papers, technical essays, formal testimony, documented audits, or explicit forecasts",
      "Demonstrated willingness to distinguish evidence, uncertainty, institutional aims, and normative judgment",
      "Explicit domain and horizon limits for experts whose work does not cover frontier capability or technical alignment",
      "Exclusion of extreme sensationalist accounts, hyper-partisan influencers, anonymous commentary, and documentary fame without current substantive work"
    ],
    "correlated_source_control": "An institution, its leaders, and their jointly produced work share one maximum 0.35x Expert Layer budget in a review unless independently authored artifacts use materially distinct evidence.",
    "addition_rule": "Adding a person, institution, book, film, or Perspective expands the knowledge base but does not itself move probabilities. A weighted update requires a dated, exact artifact with a transparent claim and horizon mapping."
  },
  "curated_expert_roster": [
    {
      "id": "exp-geoffrey-hinton",
      "name": "Prof. Geoffrey Hinton",
      "affiliation": "University of Toronto / Nobel Laureate in Physics / Turing Award Laureate",
      "primary_focus": "Frontier neural network scaling, biological vs. digital computation, existential and catastrophic risk",
      "relevance": "Pioneer of deep learning whose warnings focus on digital intelligence surpassing biological limits and the difficulty of controlling goal-directed systems.",
      "links": {
        "official": "https://www.cs.toronto.edu/~hinton/",
        "x": "https://x.com/geoffreyhinton",
        "grokipedia": "https://grokipedia.com/page/Geoffrey_Hinton",
        "wikipedia": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geoffrey_Hinton"
      },
      "affiliation_es": "Universidad de Toronto / Premio Nobel de Física / Premio Turing",
      "primary_focus_es": "Escalado de redes neuronales de frontera, comparación entre computación biológica y digital, riesgos existenciales y catastróficos",
      "relevance_es": "Pionero del aprendizaje profundo cuyas advertencias se centran en la posibilidad de que la inteligencia digital supere los límites biológicos y en la dificultad de controlar sistemas orientados a objetivos."
    },
    {
      "id": "exp-yann-lecun",
      "name": "Prof. Yann LeCun",
      "affiliation": "Meta / NYU / Turing Award Laureate",
      "primary_focus": "World models, Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture (JEPA), open-source foundational AI",
      "relevance": "Pioneer of deep learning advocating for world models and open-source decentralization, grounding debates by highlighting the architectural limits of autoregressive LLMs.",
      "links": {
        "official": "https://yann.lecun.com",
        "x": "https://x.com/ylecun",
        "grokipedia": "https://grokipedia.com/page/Yann_LeCun",
        "wikipedia": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yann_LeCun"
      },
      "affiliation_es": "Meta / NYU / Premio Turing",
      "primary_focus_es": "Modelos del mundo, arquitectura predictiva de incrustación conjunta (JEPA) e IA fundacional de código abierto",
      "relevance_es": "Pionero del aprendizaje profundo que promueve los modelos del mundo y la descentralización mediante código abierto. Aporta equilibrio al destacar los límites arquitectónicos de los modelos autorregresivos de lenguaje."
    },
    {
      "id": "exp-demis-hassabis",
      "name": "Sir Demis Hassabis",
      "affiliation": "Google DeepMind / Nobel Laureate in Chemistry",
      "primary_focus": "Frontier AGI architectures, AI-driven scientific discovery (AlphaFold), bio/materials breakthroughs",
      "relevance": "Direct builder of world-leading frontier systems focused on accelerating scientific discovery while establishing pre-deployment evaluations.",
      "links": {
        "official": "https://deepmind.google/about/",
        "x": "https://x.com/demishassabis",
        "grokipedia": "https://grokipedia.com/page/Demis_Hassabis",
        "wikipedia": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demis_Hassabis"
      },
      "affiliation_es": "Google DeepMind / Premio Nobel de Química",
      "primary_focus_es": "Arquitecturas de IAG de frontera, descubrimiento científico con IA y avances en biología y materiales",
      "relevance_es": "Constructor directo de sistemas de frontera de referencia, centrado en acelerar el descubrimiento científico y establecer evaluaciones antes del despliegue."
    },
    {
      "id": "exp-dario-amodei",
      "name": "Dario Amodei",
      "affiliation": "Anthropic (CEO & Co-founder)",
      "primary_focus": "Frontier scaling laws, mechanistic interpretability, biological/cyber security risk mitigation",
      "relevance": "Frontier lab leader publishing detailed scaling essays and verifiable interpretability research, balancing massive capability scaling with catastrophic risk governance.",
      "links": {
        "official": "https://darioamodei.com",
        "x": "https://x.com/DarioAmodei",
        "grokipedia": "https://grokipedia.com/page/Dario_Amodei",
        "wikipedia": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dario_Amodei"
      },
      "affiliation_es": "Anthropic, director ejecutivo y cofundador",
      "primary_focus_es": "Leyes de escalado de frontera, interpretabilidad mecanicista y mitigación de riesgos biológicos y de ciberseguridad",
      "relevance_es": "Dirige un laboratorio de frontera que publica análisis detallados sobre escalado e investigación verificable de interpretabilidad, combinando el avance de capacidades con la gobernanza de riesgos catastróficos."
    },
    {
      "id": "exp-ilya-sutskever",
      "name": "Ilya Sutskever",
      "affiliation": "Safe Superintelligence (SSI) / Former Chief Scientist, OpenAI",
      "primary_focus": "Superhuman alignment, core algorithmic breakthroughs, safety-focused frontier architectures",
      "relevance": "Core architect behind breakthrough scaling paradigms, now dedicated exclusively to technical alignment and provably safe superintelligence.",
      "links": {
        "official": "https://ssi.inc",
        "x": "https://x.com/ilyasut",
        "grokipedia": "https://grokipedia.com/page/Ilya_Sutskever",
        "wikipedia": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ilya_Sutskever"
      },
      "affiliation_es": "Safe Superintelligence, SSI / Exdirector científico de OpenAI",
      "primary_focus_es": "Alineación de sistemas sobrehumanos, avances algorítmicos fundamentales y arquitecturas de frontera centradas en seguridad",
      "relevance_es": "Arquitecto central de paradigmas decisivos de escalado, dedicado ahora a la alineación técnica y a la búsqueda de una superinteligencia demostrablemente segura."
    },
    {
      "id": "exp-yoshua-bengio",
      "name": "Prof. Yoshua Bengio",
      "affiliation": "Mila / University of Montreal / UN Scientific Advisory / Turing Award Laureate",
      "primary_focus": "Frontier safety research, international governance treaties, non-profit AI architectures",
      "relevance": "Pioneer of deep learning focusing on non-profit, internationally inspected safety architectures and preventing dangerous concentration.",
      "links": {
        "official": "https://yoshuabengio.org",
        "x": "https://x.com/yoshuabengio",
        "grokipedia": "https://grokipedia.com/page/Yoshua_Bengio",
        "wikipedia": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yoshua_Bengio"
      },
      "affiliation_es": "Mila / Universidad de Montreal / Consejo Científico de la ONU / Premio Turing",
      "primary_focus_es": "Investigación de seguridad de frontera, tratados internacionales de gobernanza y arquitecturas de IA sin fines de lucro",
      "relevance_es": "Pionero del aprendizaje profundo centrado en arquitecturas de seguridad sin fines de lucro, sometidas a inspección internacional, y en evitar una concentración peligrosa."
    },
    {
      "id": "exp-andrej-karpathy",
      "name": "Dr. Andrej Karpathy",
      "affiliation": "Eureka Labs / Former OpenAI & Tesla AI Director",
      "primary_focus": "Practical frontier model architecture, autonomous agent workflows, AI-native education",
      "relevance": "Exceptional technical educator and practitioner offering clear, hype-free assessments of current agentic capabilities and practical engineering bottlenecks.",
      "links": {
        "official": "https://karpathy.ai",
        "x": "https://x.com/karpathy",
        "grokipedia": "https://grokipedia.com/page/Andrej_Karpathy",
        "wikipedia": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrej_Karpathy"
      },
      "affiliation_es": "Eureka Labs / Exdirector de IA en OpenAI y Tesla",
      "primary_focus_es": "Arquitectura práctica de modelos de frontera, flujos de agentes autónomos y educación nativa en IA",
      "relevance_es": "Educador técnico y profesional excepcional que ofrece evaluaciones claras y sin exageraciones sobre las capacidades actuales de los agentes y los obstáculos prácticos de ingeniería."
    },
    {
      "id": "exp-andrew-ng",
      "name": "Prof. Andrew Ng",
      "affiliation": "Stanford University / DeepLearning.AI / AI Fund",
      "primary_focus": "Agentic workflows, enterprise AI adoption, open-source democratization, practical utility",
      "relevance": "World-renowned AI educator and builder emphasizing iterative agentic patterns, domain-specific deployment, and practical economic augmentation.",
      "links": {
        "official": "https://www.andrewng.org",
        "x": "https://x.com/AndrewYNg",
        "grokipedia": "https://grokipedia.com/page/Andrew_Ng",
        "wikipedia": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrew_Ng"
      },
      "affiliation_es": "Universidad de Stanford / DeepLearning.AI / AI Fund",
      "primary_focus_es": "Flujos de trabajo con agentes, adopción empresarial, democratización mediante código abierto y utilidad práctica",
      "relevance_es": "Educador y constructor de IA de alcance mundial que destaca patrones iterativos con agentes, despliegues específicos por sector y mejoras económicas prácticas."
    },
    {
      "id": "exp-fei-fei-li",
      "name": "Prof. Fei-Fei Li",
      "affiliation": "Stanford Institute for Human-Centered AI (HAI) / World Labs",
      "primary_focus": "Human-centered AI, spatial intelligence, public computing infrastructure, healthcare AI",
      "relevance": "Creator of ImageNet and champion of human-centered AI, advocating for democratic public compute and systems designed to augment human practitioners.",
      "links": {
        "official": "https://profiles.stanford.edu/fei-fei-li",
        "x": "https://x.com/drfeifei",
        "grokipedia": "https://grokipedia.com/page/Fei-Fei_Li",
        "wikipedia": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fei-Fei_Li"
      },
      "affiliation_es": "Instituto de IA Centrada en las Personas de Stanford, HAI / World Labs",
      "primary_focus_es": "IA centrada en las personas, inteligencia espacial, infraestructura pública de cómputo e IA sanitaria",
      "relevance_es": "Creadora de ImageNet y defensora de la IA centrada en las personas, de una infraestructura pública de cómputo democrática y de sistemas que amplíen las capacidades de los profesionales."
    },
    {
      "id": "exp-sebastian-raschka",
      "name": "Dr. Sebastian Raschka",
      "affiliation": "Ahead of AI / Lightning AI",
      "primary_focus": "Open-source LLM architectures, fine-tuning efficiency, model compression, empirical benchmarking",
      "relevance": "Leading technical author and researcher providing transparent, code-backed breakdowns of model training, quantization, and architectural efficiency.",
      "links": {
        "official": "https://sebastianraschka.com",
        "x": "https://x.com/rasbt",
        "grokipedia": "https://grokipedia.com/page/Sebastian_Raschka",
        "wikipedia": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sebastian_Raschka"
      },
      "affiliation_es": "Ahead of AI / Lightning AI",
      "primary_focus_es": "Arquitecturas abiertas de modelos de lenguaje, eficiencia del ajuste, compresión y evaluación empírica",
      "relevance_es": "Autor técnico e investigador destacado que publica explicaciones transparentes y respaldadas por código sobre entrenamiento, cuantización y eficiencia arquitectónica."
    },
    {
      "id": "exp-ethan-mollick",
      "name": "Prof. Ethan Mollick",
      "affiliation": "Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania (One Useful Thing)",
      "primary_focus": "Empirical workplace productivity, cognitive labor augmentation, practical organizational adoption",
      "relevance": "Pioneering researcher running controlled workplace experiments on how humans and AI interact, providing hard data on labor productivity and transition friction.",
      "links": {
        "official": "https://www.oneusefulthing.org",
        "x": "https://x.com/emollick",
        "grokipedia": "https://grokipedia.com/page/Ethan_Mollick",
        "wikipedia": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ethan_Mollick"
      },
      "affiliation_es": "Wharton, Universidad de Pensilvania / One Useful Thing",
      "primary_focus_es": "Productividad laboral empírica, ampliación del trabajo cognitivo y adopción organizativa práctica",
      "relevance_es": "Investigador pionero en experimentos controlados sobre la interacción entre personas e IA, con datos directos sobre productividad laboral y fricciones de transición."
    },
    {
      "id": "exp-daron-acemoglu",
      "name": "Prof. Daron Acemoglu & Simon Johnson",
      "affiliation": "MIT Department of Economics / NBER / Nobel Laureate in Economics",
      "primary_focus": "Macroeconomic labor displacement, wage distribution, technological rent concentration",
      "relevance": "Leading institutional economists measuring whether automation acts as labor-augmenting or capital-concentrating.",
      "links": {
        "official": "https://economics.mit.edu/people/faculty/daron-acemoglu",
        "x": "https://x.com/DAcemogluMIT",
        "grokipedia": "https://grokipedia.com/page/Daron_Acemoglu",
        "wikipedia": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Daron_Acemoglu"
      },
      "affiliation_es": "Departamento de Economía del MIT / NBER / Premio Nobel de Economía",
      "primary_focus_es": "Desplazamiento laboral macroeconómico, distribución salarial y concentración de rentas tecnológicas",
      "relevance_es": "Economistas institucionales de referencia que miden si la automatización amplía el trabajo humano o concentra el capital."
    },
    {
      "id": "exp-shannon-vallor",
      "name": "Prof. Shannon Vallor",
      "affiliation": "University of Edinburgh / Centre for Technomoral Futures",
      "primary_focus": "Technomoral philosophy, human moral agency, practical virtue in automated societies",
      "relevance": "Leading philosopher examining human flourishing, practical wisdom, and retaining human agency in an automated world.",
      "links": {
        "official": "https://www.ed.ac.uk/profile/shannon-vallor",
        "x": "https://x.com/shannonvallor",
        "grokipedia": "https://grokipedia.com/page/Shannon_Vallor",
        "wikipedia": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shannon_Vallor"
      },
      "affiliation_es": "Universidad de Edimburgo / Centre for Technomoral Futures",
      "primary_focus_es": "Filosofía tecnomoral, capacidad moral humana y virtud práctica en sociedades automatizadas",
      "relevance_es": "Filósofa destacada que estudia el florecimiento humano, la sabiduría práctica y la conservación de la capacidad de decisión en un mundo automatizado."
    },
    {
      "id": "exp-arvind-narayanan",
      "name": "Prof. Arvind Narayanan & Sayash Kapoor",
      "affiliation": "Princeton Center for Information Technology Policy (AI Snake Oil)",
      "primary_focus": "Empirical capability audits, debunking commercial hype, institutional adoption limits",
      "relevance": "Essential grounding voice analyzing where AI systems reliably work versus where claims outstrip technical reality.",
      "links": {
        "official": "https://www.aisnakeoil.com",
        "x": "https://x.com/random_walker",
        "grokipedia": "https://grokipedia.com/page/Arvind_Narayanan",
        "wikipedia": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arvind_Narayanan"
      },
      "affiliation_es": "Centro de Política de Tecnologías de la Información de Princeton / AI Snake Oil",
      "primary_focus_es": "Auditorías empíricas de capacidad, verificación de promesas comerciales y límites de adopción institucional",
      "relevance_es": "Voz esencial de contraste que analiza dónde funcionan de forma fiable los sistemas de IA y dónde las afirmaciones superan la realidad técnica."
    },
    {
      "id": "exp-dan-hendrycks",
      "name": "Dan Hendrycks & CAIS Research",
      "affiliation": "Center for AI Safety / UC Berkeley",
      "primary_focus": "Empirical safety benchmarks, catastrophic risk taxonomies, technical alignment",
      "relevance": "Author of widely adopted safety and reasoning benchmark datasets (MMLU, MATH, APPS) measuring complex failure modes.",
      "links": {
        "official": "https://www.safe.ai",
        "x": "https://x.com/DanHendrycks",
        "grokipedia": "https://grokipedia.com/page/Dan_Hendrycks",
        "wikipedia": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dan_Hendrycks"
      },
      "affiliation_es": "Center for AI Safety / Universidad de California en Berkeley",
      "primary_focus_es": "Evaluaciones empíricas de seguridad, taxonomías de riesgo catastrófico y alineación técnica",
      "relevance_es": "Autor de conjuntos de evaluación de seguridad y razonamiento de uso amplio, entre ellos MMLU, MATH y APPS, que permiten medir fallos complejos."
    },
    {
      "id": "exp-epoch-ai",
      "name": "Epoch AI Research Team",
      "affiliation": "Epoch AI (Tamay Besiroglu, Jaime Sevilla et al.)",
      "primary_focus": "Compute trends, hardware scaling, algorithmic efficiency metrics",
      "relevance": "Gold-standard empirical tracking of training FLOPs, hardware cost deflation, and model efficiency milestones.",
      "links": {
        "official": "https://epochai.org",
        "x": "https://x.com/EpochAIResearch",
        "grokipedia": "https://grokipedia.com/page/Epoch_AI",
        "wikipedia": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Epoch_(research_organization)"
      },
      "affiliation_es": "Epoch AI, equipo de investigación",
      "primary_focus_es": "Tendencias de cómputo, escalado de hardware y métricas de eficiencia algorítmica",
      "relevance_es": "Seguimiento empírico de referencia sobre cómputo de entrenamiento, evolución del coste del hardware e hitos de eficiencia de los modelos."
    },
    {
      "id": "exp-metr",
      "name": "METR (Model Evaluation & Threat Research)",
      "affiliation": "Independent Safety Institute (Beth Barnes et al.)",
      "primary_focus": "Autonomous agent capability evals, cyber weaponization, red-team replication studies",
      "relevance": "Objective empirical testing of whether frontier models can autonomously replicate, deceive, or exploit networks.",
      "links": {
        "official": "https://metr.org",
        "x": "https://x.com/METR_evals",
        "grokipedia": "https://grokipedia.com/page/METR",
        "wikipedia": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Model_Evaluation_and_Threat_Research"
      },
      "affiliation_es": "Instituto independiente de seguridad, equipo de Beth Barnes",
      "primary_focus_es": "Evaluaciones de capacidad de agentes autónomos, riesgos cibernéticos y estudios reproducibles de equipo rojo",
      "relevance_es": "Realiza pruebas empíricas para determinar si los modelos de frontera pueden replicarse, engañar o explotar redes de forma autónoma."
    },
    {
      "id": "exp-carl-shulman",
      "name": "Carl Shulman & Paul Christiano",
      "affiliation": "Alignment Research Center (ARC) / Open Philanthropy",
      "primary_focus": "Long-term capability forecasting, mechanistic alignment, societal coordination",
      "relevance": "Rigorous, detailed technical scenario models on the speed of cognitive automation and governance mechanisms.",
      "links": {
        "official": "https://alignment.org",
        "x": "https://x.com/paulfchristiano",
        "grokipedia": "https://grokipedia.com/page/Paul_Christiano",
        "wikipedia": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_Christiano"
      },
      "affiliation_es": "Alignment Research Center, ARC / Open Philanthropy",
      "primary_focus_es": "Pronósticos de capacidad a largo plazo, alineación mecanicista y coordinación social",
      "relevance_es": "Desarrollan modelos técnicos detallados sobre la velocidad de automatización del trabajo cognitivo y los posibles mecanismos de gobernanza."
    },
    {
      "id": "exp-cht-harris-raskin",
      "name": "Tristan Harris & Aza Raskin",
      "affiliation": "Center for Humane Technology",
      "affiliation_es": "Center for Humane Technology",
      "primary_focus": "AI deployment incentives, persuasive systems, psychological effects, human agency, and concentrated power",
      "primary_focus_es": "Incentivos de despliegue de la IA, sistemas persuasivos, efectos psicológicos, capacidad de decisión humana y concentración de poder",
      "relevance": "Sociotechnical analysts whose current AI Roadmap connects system design and deployment incentives with safety, rights, work, well-being, and distributed power. This entry is one correlated CHT voice, not two independent votes.",
      "relevance_es": "Analistas sociotécnicos cuya hoja de ruta sobre IA relaciona el diseño y los incentivos de despliegue con la seguridad, los derechos, el trabajo, el bienestar y la distribución del poder. Esta entrada cuenta como una sola voz vinculada a CHT, no como dos votos independientes.",
      "category": "Domain-limited sociotechnical expertise",
      "category_es": "Experiencia sociotécnica acotada",
      "source_cluster": "center-for-humane-technology",
      "scope_domains": [
        "deployment_incentives",
        "psychological_effects",
        "human_agency",
        "concentration",
        "governance"
      ],
      "scope_levels": [
        "level-2",
        "level-3",
        "level-4",
        "level-5"
      ],
      "current_role_verified_date": "2026-08-18",
      "primary_artifacts": [
        "https://www.humanetech.com/team-board",
        "https://www.humanetech.com/ai-roadmap"
      ],
      "mission_or_conflicts": "CHT is a mission-driven nonprofit advocating for safer technology incentives. Harris and Raskin share the same institutional source cluster, so their joint influence is capped rather than counted twice.",
      "mission_or_conflicts_es": "CHT es una organización sin fines de lucro que promueve incentivos tecnológicos más seguros. Harris y Raskin pertenecen al mismo grupo institucional, por lo que su influencia conjunta se limita en lugar de contarse dos veces.",
      "eligible_for_probability_updates": false,
      "cluster_weight_cap": 0.35,
      "status": "active",
      "links": {
        "official": "https://www.humanetech.com/team-board",
        "x": "https://x.com/tristanharris",
        "grokipedia": "https://grokipedia.com/page/Center_for_Humane_Technology",
        "additional_links": [
          {
            "label": "Aza on X",
            "label_es": "Aza en X",
            "url": "https://x.com/aza"
          },
          {
            "label": "Aza profile",
            "label_es": "Perfil de Aza",
            "url": "https://grokipedia.com/page/Aza_Raskin"
          },
          {
            "label": "AI Roadmap",
            "label_es": "Hoja de ruta de IA",
            "url": "https://www.humanetech.com/ai-roadmap"
          }
        ]
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "exp-cathy-oneil",
      "name": "Dr. Cathy O'Neil",
      "affiliation": "ORCAA",
      "affiliation_es": "ORCAA",
      "primary_focus": "Algorithmic audits, AI governance, discriminatory impact, accountability, and high-stakes automated decisions",
      "primary_focus_es": "Auditorías algorítmicas, gobernanza de la IA, impacto discriminatorio, rendición de cuentas y decisiones automatizadas de alto riesgo",
      "relevance": "Applied auditor of real-world algorithms and AI systems in employment, healthcare, predictive decision-making, and generative AI. Her proper scope is documented deployment harm and governance across Levels 2, 3, and 4, not frontier capability forecasting.",
      "relevance_es": "Auditora de algoritmos y sistemas de IA utilizados en empleo, salud, decisiones predictivas e IA generativa. Su ámbito adecuado son los daños documentados del despliegue y la gobernanza en los niveles 2, 3 y 4, no la predicción de capacidades de frontera.",
      "category": "Domain-limited algorithmic accountability",
      "category_es": "Responsabilidad algorítmica acotada",
      "source_cluster": "orcaa",
      "scope_domains": [
        "algorithmic_auditing",
        "civil_rights",
        "governance",
        "high_stakes_decisions"
      ],
      "scope_levels": [
        "level-2",
        "level-3",
        "level-4"
      ],
      "current_role_verified_date": "2026-08-18",
      "primary_artifacts": [
        "https://orcaarisk.com/about/"
      ],
      "mission_or_conflicts": "ORCAA is a commercial consultancy that performs paid algorithmic audits and governance advice. This direct applied access is valuable, while the commercial relationship should remain visible.",
      "mission_or_conflicts_es": "ORCAA es una consultora comercial que realiza auditorías algorítmicas y asesora en gobernanza. Ese acceso directo a sistemas reales es valioso, pero la relación comercial debe permanecer visible.",
      "eligible_for_probability_updates": false,
      "cluster_weight_cap": 0.35,
      "status": "active",
      "links": {
        "official": "https://orcaarisk.com/about/",
        "x": "https://x.com/mathbabedotorg",
        "grokipedia": "https://grokipedia.com/page/Cathy_O%27Neil"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "exp-guillaume-chaslot",
      "name": "Dr. Guillaume Chaslot",
      "affiliation": "AlgoTransparency / Center for Humane Technology adviser",
      "affiliation_es": "AlgoTransparency / asesor del Center for Humane Technology",
      "primary_focus": "Recommender systems, information integrity, algorithmic manipulation, transparency, and platform incentives",
      "primary_focus_es": "Sistemas de recomendación, integridad informativa, manipulación algorítmica, transparencia e incentivos de las plataformas",
      "relevance": "AI researcher and former platform engineer with direct technical experience in recommendation systems. His scope is the measured social and informational effects of ranking systems, mainly Levels 2 and 3, rather than general frontier AI forecasting.",
      "relevance_es": "Investigador de IA y antiguo ingeniero de plataformas con experiencia técnica directa en sistemas de recomendación. Su ámbito son los efectos sociales e informativos medibles de los sistemas de clasificación, sobre todo en los niveles 2 y 3, no la predicción general de la IA de frontera.",
      "category": "Domain-limited information integrity",
      "category_es": "Integridad informativa acotada",
      "source_cluster": "algotransparency",
      "scope_domains": [
        "recommender_systems",
        "information_integrity",
        "algorithmic_transparency",
        "platform_incentives"
      ],
      "scope_levels": [
        "level-2",
        "level-3"
      ],
      "current_role_verified_date": "2026-08-18",
      "primary_artifacts": [
        "https://www.algotransparency.org/who-we-are",
        "https://www.algotransparency.org/"
      ],
      "mission_or_conflicts": "Founder of an algorithmic-transparency project and a former Google and Microsoft engineer. Former-employer experience provides useful access to platform incentives but should not be treated as neutral evidence by itself.",
      "mission_or_conflicts_es": "Fundador de un proyecto de transparencia algorítmica y antiguo ingeniero de Google y Microsoft. Esa experiencia aporta conocimiento de los incentivos de las plataformas, pero no constituye por sí sola evidencia neutral.",
      "eligible_for_probability_updates": false,
      "cluster_weight_cap": 0.35,
      "status": "active",
      "links": {
        "official": "https://www.algotransparency.org/who-we-are",
        "x": "https://x.com/gchaslot",
        "additional_links": [
          {
            "label": "AlgoTransparency",
            "label_es": "AlgoTransparency",
            "url": "https://www.algotransparency.org/"
          }
        ]
      }
    }
  ],
  "institutional_resources": [
    {
      "id": "inst-center-for-humane-technology",
      "name": "Center for Humane Technology",
      "resource_type": "Nonprofit policy and public-interest resource",
      "resource_type_es": "Recurso de políticas públicas sin fines de lucro",
      "description": "Tracks how AI and persuasive technology shape human well-being, democratic agency, safety, rights, work, and concentrated power. Its AI Roadmap is a useful framework, not an empirical signal.",
      "description_es": "Analiza cómo la IA y la tecnología persuasiva afectan el bienestar, la capacidad democrática, la seguridad, los derechos, el trabajo y la concentración de poder. Su hoja de ruta es un marco útil, no una señal empírica.",
      "source_cluster": "center-for-humane-technology",
      "scope_domains": [
        "deployment_incentives",
        "psychological_effects",
        "human_agency",
        "concentration",
        "governance"
      ],
      "scope_levels": [
        "level-2",
        "level-3",
        "level-4",
        "level-5"
      ],
      "mission_or_conflicts": "Mission-driven advocacy for humane technology and safer incentives.",
      "mission_or_conflicts_es": "Promueve una tecnología más humana y unos incentivos más seguros.",
      "eligible_for_probability_updates": false,
      "status": "active_resource",
      "verified_date": "2026-08-18",
      "links": [
        {
          "label": "AI Roadmap",
          "label_es": "Hoja de ruta de IA",
          "url": "https://www.humanetech.com/ai-roadmap"
        },
        {
          "label": "AI in Society",
          "label_es": "IA y sociedad",
          "url": "https://www.humanetech.com/ai-society"
        },
        {
          "label": "Team and Board",
          "label_es": "Equipo y consejo",
          "url": "https://www.humanetech.com/team-board"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "inst-orcaa",
      "name": "ORCAA",
      "resource_type": "Algorithmic audit and governance practice",
      "resource_type_es": "Firma de auditoría algorítmica y gobernanza",
      "description": "Provides applied audits and governance work for algorithms and AI used in high-stakes settings. Useful for observed deployment risks and accountability methods.",
      "description_es": "Realiza auditorías y trabajos de gobernanza sobre algoritmos e IA utilizados en contextos de alto riesgo. Es útil para estudiar riesgos de despliegue y métodos de rendición de cuentas.",
      "source_cluster": "orcaa",
      "scope_domains": [
        "algorithmic_auditing",
        "civil_rights",
        "governance",
        "high_stakes_decisions"
      ],
      "scope_levels": [
        "level-2",
        "level-3",
        "level-4"
      ],
      "mission_or_conflicts": "Commercial audit and advisory practice. Paid client relationships should be disclosed when a specific artifact is used.",
      "mission_or_conflicts_es": "Firma comercial de auditoría y asesoría. Las relaciones con clientes deben declararse cuando se utilice un trabajo concreto.",
      "eligible_for_probability_updates": false,
      "status": "active_resource",
      "verified_date": "2026-08-18",
      "links": [
        {
          "label": "About ORCAA",
          "label_es": "Sobre ORCAA",
          "url": "https://orcaarisk.com/about/"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "inst-algotransparency",
      "name": "AlgoTransparency",
      "resource_type": "Algorithmic transparency and information-integrity resource",
      "resource_type_es": "Recurso sobre transparencia algorítmica e integridad informativa",
      "description": "Investigates how recommendation algorithms shape public information and attention. Useful for platform incentives and measurable information-system effects.",
      "description_es": "Investiga cómo los algoritmos de recomendación condicionan la información pública y la atención. Es útil para analizar incentivos de plataforma y efectos medibles de los sistemas informativos.",
      "source_cluster": "algotransparency",
      "scope_domains": [
        "recommender_systems",
        "information_integrity",
        "algorithmic_transparency"
      ],
      "scope_levels": [
        "level-2",
        "level-3"
      ],
      "mission_or_conflicts": "Mission-driven transparency project founded by a former platform engineer.",
      "mission_or_conflicts_es": "Proyecto de transparencia fundado por un antiguo ingeniero de plataformas.",
      "eligible_for_probability_updates": false,
      "status": "active_resource",
      "verified_date": "2026-08-18",
      "links": [
        {
          "label": "Research site",
          "label_es": "Sitio de investigación",
          "url": "https://www.algotransparency.org/"
        },
        {
          "label": "Who we are",
          "label_es": "Quiénes somos",
          "url": "https://www.algotransparency.org/who-we-are"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "inst-consilience-project",
      "name": "The Consilience Project / Civilization Research Institute",
      "resource_type": "Systems-thinking and public-sensemaking library",
      "resource_type_es": "Biblioteca de pensamiento sistémico y comprensión pública",
      "description": "Offers long-form work on technological change, civilizational risk, public sensemaking, and social coordination. Best used as a curated Perspective source because publication is irregular and institutionally attributed.",
      "description_es": "Publica análisis extensos sobre cambio tecnológico, riesgos civilizatorios, comprensión pública y coordinación social. Conviene usarlo como fuente curada de perspectivas porque publica de manera irregular y con autoría institucional.",
      "source_cluster": "consilience-project",
      "scope_domains": [
        "systems_thinking",
        "public_sensemaking",
        "coordination",
        "technology_governance"
      ],
      "scope_levels": [
        "level-2",
        "level-3",
        "level-4"
      ],
      "mission_or_conflicts": "Mission-driven systems analysis with collective institutional attribution.",
      "mission_or_conflicts_es": "Análisis sistémico con una misión explícita y autoría institucional colectiva.",
      "eligible_for_probability_updates": false,
      "status": "perspective_resource",
      "verified_date": "2026-08-18",
      "links": [
        {
          "label": "About the project",
          "label_es": "Sobre el proyecto",
          "url": "https://consilienceproject.org/about-the-project/"
        },
        {
          "label": "Technology is Not Values Neutral",
          "label_es": "La tecnología no es neutral",
          "url": "https://consilienceproject.org/technology-is-not-values-neutral-ending-the-reign-of-nihilistic-design-2/"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "inst-one-project",
      "name": "One Project",
      "resource_type": "Economic-democracy and shared-prosperity resource",
      "resource_type_es": "Recurso sobre democracia económica y prosperidad compartida",
      "description": "Develops institutional alternatives for distributing power and prosperity as AI changes work and production. Useful for evaluating positive Level 4 and Level 5 pathways without treating advocacy as evidence.",
      "description_es": "Desarrolla alternativas institucionales para distribuir el poder y la prosperidad a medida que la IA transforma el trabajo y la producción. Ayuda a evaluar los caminos positivos de los niveles 4 y 5 sin confundir promoción con evidencia.",
      "source_cluster": "one-project",
      "scope_domains": [
        "economic_democracy",
        "shared_prosperity",
        "institutional_design",
        "human_agency"
      ],
      "scope_levels": [
        "level-2",
        "level-4",
        "level-5"
      ],
      "mission_or_conflicts": "Mission-driven nonprofit advancing economic democracy and shared prosperity.",
      "mission_or_conflicts_es": "Organización sin fines de lucro que promueve la democracia económica y la prosperidad compartida.",
      "eligible_for_probability_updates": false,
      "status": "perspective_resource",
      "verified_date": "2026-08-18",
      "links": [
        {
          "label": "One Project",
          "label_es": "One Project",
          "url": "https://oneproject.org/"
        },
        {
          "label": "The Architecture of Abundance",
          "label_es": "La arquitectura de la abundancia",
          "url": "https://oneproject.org/architecture-of-abundance/"
        }
      ]
    }
  ]
}
